Showing 1 - 10 of 7,472
We propose a new measure of time-varying tail risk that is directly estimable from the cross section of returns. We … exploit firm-level price crashes every month to identify common fluctuations in tail risk across stocks. Our tail measure is … significantly correlated with tail risk measures extracted from S&P 500 index options, but is available for a longer sample since it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459286
of banks argue that compensation for bearing systematic risk is not part of bank output. We apply these models and find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464032
This paper provides a general framework for integration of high-frequency intraday data into the measurement … the large covariance matrices relevant in asset pricing, asset allocation and financial risk management applications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470566
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the … earnings growth, payout ratios and the short rate as state variables. We use this model imposing a constant risk premium to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470517
power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price … estimates that are of the same sign and similar in magnitude. Positive exposure to capital share risk earns a positive risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457922
We propose a Bayesian procedure for exploiting small, possibly long-lag linear predictability in the innovations of a finite order autoregression. We model the innovations as having a log-spectral density that is a continuous mean-zero Gaussian process of order 1/√T. This local embedding makes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461943
their empirical counterparts. Our findings suggest that time-varying disaster risk and the many types of uncertainty shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456293
We examine the prediction of Merton's intertemporal CAPM that time varying risk premiums arise from the conditional … of risk for the covariance with the market return that is driven by the time series variation in the conditional … covariances, and the risk-premium on the market remains positive and significant after controlling for additional state variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458421
This paper exploits a data rich environment to provide direct econometric estimates of time-varying macroeconomic uncertainty, defined as the common volatility in the unforecastable component of a large number of economic indicators. Our estimates display significant independent variations from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459206
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or … cross-fertilize the academic and practitioner communities, promoting improved market risk measurement technologies that draw … produce more accurate risk assessments, treating both portfolio-level and asset-level analysis. Asset-level analysis is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460575