Showing 1 - 10 of 453
in the future. We appeal to decision theory under risk, model ambiguity and misspecification concerns to provide an … into a low dimensional characterization that depends on the uncertainty aversion of a decision-maker or fictitious social …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599354
Starting from Robbins (1952), the literature on experimentation via multi-armed bandits has wed exploration and exploitation. Nonetheless, in many applications, agents' exploration and exploitation need not be intertwined: a policymaker may assess new policies different than the status quo; an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544703
In this paper we study "investment tournaments," a class of decision problems that involve gradual allocation of … investment among several alternatives whose values are subject to exogenous shocks. The decision-maker's payoff is determined by … broad range of cases it is optimal for the decision-maker in each time period to allocate all resources to the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463514
We develop a new approach to identify different categories of depositors during periods of uncertainty and quantify their compensation to remain in the bank. We isolate withdrawals due to liquidity needs, deterioration of fundamentals, and expectation about withdrawal behavior of other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362023
In this paper, we assess the degree to which four of the most commonly used models of risky decision making can explain … explain the decision-making behavior of the majority of our subjects. Surprisingly, we find that the choice behavior of the … of risky decision making …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476344
In this paper we analyze the problem of whether and/or when to replace a leader (agent) when no monetary rewards are available, and it is the leader's competence rather than effort that is being evaluated. The only decisions that the leader takes over time are whether to undertake risky but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458366
application of adult women's decisions to undertake mammography to evaluate the importance of present bias and naivety in the … under-utilization of this preventive health care. Our results show evidence for both present bias and naivety …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462218
The favorite-longshot bias describes the longstanding empirical regularity that betting odds provide biased estimates … misperceptions of probability drive the favorite-longshot bias, as suggested by Prospect Theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462728
Decisions take time, and the time taken to reach a decision is likely to be informative about the cost of more precise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480359
class of problems of decision under uncertainty in which the argument for collective choice emerges from the mathematics of … aggregating individual payoffs. Consider decision making when each member of a population has the same objective function, which … depends on an unknown state of nature. If agents knew the state of nature, they would make the same decision. However, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463477