Showing 1 - 10 of 10,176
Foreign investors' changing appetite for risk-taking have been shown to be a key determinant of the global financial … cycle. Such fluctuations in risk sentiment also correlate with the dynamics of UIP premia, capital flows, and exchange rates …. To understand how these risk sentiment changes transmit across borders, we propose a two-country macroeconomic framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210054
We study the effects of debt-financed fiscal transfers in a general equilibrium, heterogeneous-agent model of the world … economy. In the long run, increases in government debt anywhere raise the world interest rate and increase private wealth … are consistent with the evolution of the world's balance of payments since the beginning of the Covid pandemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334403
Are unregulated capital flows excessive during a stagflation episode? We argue that they likely are, owing to a macroeconomic externality operating through the economy's supply side. Inflows raise domestic wages through a wealth effect on labor supply and cause unwelcome upward pressure on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013462700
I propose a dynamic model of the reserve currency paradigm that centers on the liquidity demand for safe assets. In global recessions, the demand for the U.S. safe bond increases and raises its convenience yield, giving rise to a stronger dollar and a countercyclical seigniorage revenue. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544732
-border lending by global banks. Evidence suggests that investment fund flows enhance risk-sharing across borders and provide emerging … particularly sensitive to global risk shocks such as tightening US dollar funding conditions relative to their active fund …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250161
Global risk and risk aversion shocks have distinct distributional impacts on emerging market capital flows and returns …. In particular, we find salient consequences of these different global shocks for tail risk in emerging markets. Open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435139
This paper investigates the implications of international financial sanctions for the reserve currency status of the US dollar. We propose a simple model of a reserve currency, demonstrate how the anticipation of financial sanctions can weaken the dollar's status, and evaluate the welfare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247945
We present a dynamic two-country model in which military spending, geopolitical risk, and government bond prices are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056136
This paper studies the impact of investor composition on the sovereign debt market and the implied funding costs to borrowers. We construct an aggregate data set of sovereign debt holdings by foreign and domestic bank, non-bank private, and official investors for 95 countries over twenty years....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210115
Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each … internally integrated, but with significant isolation between the blocs. This paper uses a quantitative theory to explore how far … this bifurcation would need to go to pose a threat to the special role of the dollar in international exchange. The theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322792