Showing 1 - 10 of 6,441
This paper examines the macroeconomic dynamics of the 2007-09 recession in the United States and the subsequent slow recovery. Using a dynamic factor model with 200 variables, we reach three main conclusions. First, although many of the events of the 2007-2009 collapse were unprecedented, their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460565
We leverage spatial variation in the severity of the Great Recession across the United States to examine its impact on mortality and to explore implications for the welfare consequences of recessions. We estimate that an increase in the unemployment rate of the magnitude of the Great Recession...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486202
The extraordinary events surrounding the Great Recession have cast a considerable doubt on the traditional sources of macroeconomic instability. In their place, economists have singled out financial and uncertainty shocks as potentially important drivers of economic fluctuations. Empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456616
This paper investigates the potential reasons for the surprisingly different labor market performance of the United States, Canada, Germany, and several other OECD countries during and after the Great Recession of 2008-09. Unemployment rates did not change substantially in Germany, increased and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457972
shock to the sector - a measure of the systemic risk of each sector. Tail centrality is theoretically and empirically very … downstream closeness to final production. The paper then uses the results to analyze the determinants of total tail risk in the … economy to small shocks while increasing the sensitivity to large shocks. Tail risk is strongest in economies that display …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388835
Previous studies for developed countries show negative short-run impacts of automation on employment and earnings. In this paper, we instead examine whether automation by a key trading partner can hurt workers in a developing country. We specifically focus in Colombia's labor market, and how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482253
We analyze the quantitative labor market and aggregate effects of a carbon tax in a framework with pollution externalities and equilibrium unemployment. Our model incorporates endogenous labor force participation and two margins of adjustment influenced by carbon taxes: (1) firm creation and (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533344
have historically been associated with a substantial risk of a recession over the next one to two years. We argue that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191004
Flood events and flood risk have been increasing in the past few decades and have important consequences for the … flood risk has a large negative impact on firm entry, employment, and output in the long run; and (2) flood events reduce … a spatial equilibrium model to characterize how flood risk shapes firms' location choices and workers' employment, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334467
At the onset of the COVID pandemic, the U.S. economy suddenly and swiftly lost 20 million jobs. Over the next two years, the economy has been on the recovery path. We assess the labor market two years into the COVID crisis. We show that early employment dynamics were almost entirely driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362041