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Do Balanced Budget Rules Work? U.S. Experience and Possible Lessons for the EMU
Inman, Robert P. - 1996
The `Excessive Deficit Procedure' of the Maastricht Treaty on Economic and Monetary Union proposes two fiscal convergence conditions for entry and continued membership in the EMU: 1) a country's overall budget deficit for each fiscal year must be equal to or below 3% of GDP, and 2) a country's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472990
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A Surplus of Ambition : Can Europe Rely on Large Primary Surpluses to Solve its Debt Problem?
Eichengreen, Barry - 2014
IMF forecasts and the EU's Fiscal Compact foresee Europe's heavily indebted countries running primary budget surpluses of as much as 5 percent of GDP for as long as 10 years in order to maintain debt sustainability and bring their debt/GDP ratios down to the Compact's 60 percent target. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458350
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Over-optimistic Official Forecasts in the Eurozone and Fiscal Rules
Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2012
. The members of the eurozone are supposedly constrained by the fiscal caps of the Stability and Growth Pact. Yet ever since …•Despite the well-known tendency of eurozone members to exceed the 3% cap on budget deficits, often in consecutive … among eurozone forecasts. If euro area governments are not in violation of the 3% cap at the time forecasts are made …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460377
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How Do Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interact in the European Monetary Union?
Canzoneri, Matthew B. - 2005
Formation of the Euro area raises new questions about the coordination of monetary and fiscal policy. Using a New Neoclassical Synthesis (NNS) model, we show that a common monetary policy, responding to area-wide aggregates, has asymmetric effects on countries within the union, depending on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467632
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Subsidiarity and the European Union
Inman, Robert P. - 1998
The European Union is at a crossroads. At issue will be each of the three decisions which define a federal constitution: the number of participating governments, the assignment of policy responsibilities to the new EMU, and the representation of local interests in, and the decision-making rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472252
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Coordination in the European Union
Feldstein, Martin - 2013
This paper examines the sources of current conflict within the EU and the EMU. The topics discussed include the recent ECB policy of bond buying (the OMT policy), the attempts to advance the "European Project" of stronger political union (the fiscal compact, the banking union, and the proposals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459989
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Business Cycles in the Euro Area
Giannone, Domenico - 2008
This paper shows that the EMU has not affected historical characteristics of member countries' business cycles and their cross-correlations. Member countries which had similar levels of GDP per-capita in the seventies have also experienced similar business cycles since then and no significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464118
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Shocks, Structures or Monetary Policies? The Euro Area and US After 2001
Christiano, Lawrence - 2007
The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates more vigorously in the recent recession than the European Central Bank did. By comparison with the Fed, the ECB followed a more measured course of action. We use an estimated dynamic general equilibrium model with financial frictions to show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465125
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The Political Economy of Budget Deficits
Alesina, Alberto - 1994
This paper provides a critical survey of the literature on politico-institutional determinants of the government budget. We organize our discussion around two questions: Why did certain OECD countries, but not others, accumulate large public debts? Why did these fiscal imbalances appear in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474299
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The Household Fallacy
Farmer, Roger - 2018
We refer to the idea that government must 'tighten its belt' as a necessary policy response to higher indebtedness as the household fallacy. We provide a reason to be skeptical of this claim that holds even if the economy always operates at full employment and all markets clear. Our argument...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453321