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We propose a new approach to constructing inflation tracking portfolios. The key to this approach is the insight that … asset returns track expected inflation far better than they track current realized inflation. Thus, we can construct … portfolios that track next month's inflation much more closely than they track this month's inflation. We show this staggered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460524
An indexed unit of account is a unit of measurement defined using an index such as a consumer price index so that prices defined in terms of these units will automatically adjust to changing economic conditions. Evidence on sticky prices and money illusion, and evidence from countries (notably...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471627
Much of the opposition to indexation as a means of adapting to on going inflation arises from the view that indexation … association between indexation and inflation is in large part a consequence of the monetary and fiscal policies being followed by … deficits are in part financed through the printing of money. It is shown that all aspects of indexing -- wage indexation, bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478451
Recently much progress has been made in developing optimal portfolio choice models accomodating time-varying opportunity sets, but unless investors are unreasonably risk averse, optimal holdings include unreasonably large equity positions. One reason is that most studies assume investors behave...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470967
This paper analyzes optimal portfolio decisions of long-horizon investors with undiversifiable labor income risk and exogenous expected retirement and lifetime horizons. It shows that the fraction of savings optimally invested in stocks is unambiguously larger for employed investors than for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471376
This paper reconsiders the effects of taxation on risky assets, recognizing the importance of variations in asset prices. We show that earlier analyses which assumed that depreciation rates are constant and that the future price of capital goods is known with certainty are very misleading, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478211
Barber and Odean study the relationship between trading activity and returns. They find that households who trade more have a lower net return than other households. They argue that these results cannot emerge from a model with rational traders and instead attribute these findings to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479787
This review article describes recent literature on asset allocation, covering both static and dynamic models. The article focuses on the bond--stock decision and on the implications of return predictability. In the static setting, investors are assumed to be Bayesian, and the role of various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462400
The empirical evidence on rational inattention lags far behind the theoretical developments: micro evidence on the most immediate consequence of observation costs − the infrequent observation of state variables − is not available in standard datasets. We contribute to filling the gap with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462816
We argue that active management's popularity is not puzzling despite the industry's poor track record. Our explanation features decreasing returns to scale: As the industry's size increases, every manager's ability to outperform passive benchmarks declines. The poor track record occurred before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463004