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-consistent expectations. This implicitly assumes unrealistic cognitive abilities on the part of economic decision makers. The relevant … question, however, is not whether the assumption can be literally correct, but how much it would matter to model decision … problems such as chess or go, in which decision makers look ahead only a finite distance into the future, and use a value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453028
when a decision is complex, they implicitly treat different time delays to some degree alike. By experimentally measuring … when the decision environment is more complex. Third, cognitive uncertainty matters for choice architecture: people who are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794605
Welfare Economics. A key theme of Cognitive Economics is finite cognition (often misleadingly called "bounded rationality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457832
Financial decisions, be they related to asset building or debt management, require the capacity to do calculations, including some complex ones. But how numerate are individuals, in particular when it comes to calculations related to financial decisions? Studies and surveys implemented in both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460837
, classification has been done manually. If it were possible to combine new computational tools and administrative wage records to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480604
We review how realistic frictions in information and/or rationality arrest general equilibrium (GE) feedbacks. In one specification, we maintain rational expectations but remove common knowledge of aggregate shocks. In another, we replace rational expectations with Level-k Thinking or a smooth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938745
the beliefs of millions of consumers than a handful of bureaucrats. As such, recognizing the limits of human cognition may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466882
We assume that the instantaneous riskless rate reverts towards a central tendency which in turn, is changing stochastically over time. As a result, current short-term rates are not" sufficient to predict future short-term rates movements, as would be the case if the central" tendency was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472491
Motivated by recent developments in the bounded rationality and strategic complementarity literatures, we examine an intentionally simple and stylized aggregative economic model, when the assumptions of fully rational expectations and no strategic interactions are relaxed. We show that small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473377
the cost of generating the information used to make a decision through a dynamic evidence accumulation process. We … alternative rational inattention theory better conform with evidence from perceptual discrimination experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453924