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We show that a fiscal expansion by the core economies of the euro area would have a large and positive impact on periphery GDP assuming that policy rates remain low for a prolonged period. Under our preferred model specification, an expansion of core government spending equal to one percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457242
spending multiplier is large when DNWR binds, but the nature of recession matters due to the opposing response of inflation. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210053
) a fiscal multiplier of one and so a missing intercept close to zero. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794586
This paper takes stock of what we have learned from the "Renaissance" in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis. I first summarize the new innovations in methodology and discuss the various strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches. Reviewing the estimates, I come to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479486
We measure the size of the fiscal multiplier using a heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets, capital and …We find that market incompleteness is key to determining the size of the fiscal multiplier, which is uniquely … determined in our model for any combination of fiscal and monetary policies of interest. The multiplier is 1.34 if deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479524
We present novel insights on the role of international trade following unanticipated government spending and income tax changes in a flexible exchange rate environment. In a simple two-country, two-good model, we show analytically that fiscal multipliers can be larger in economies more open to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481200
effects from these partisan differences. First, the transfer multiplier would rise by 0.60 if Republican governors were to … imply variation in the fiscal multiplier of 0.40. Local projection regressions support this prediction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482641
If there was any time to expect a large peace-time multiplier effect from federal spending in the states, it would have …. Using panel data methods we estimate a multiplier, defined as the change in per capita state economic activity in response … to an additional dollar per capita of federal funds. The state per capita personal income multiplier with respect to per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462096
countries, (ii) the fiscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rates but is zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462178
output multiplier whereas it can produce a realistic unemployment multiplier but only under a special parameterization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462720