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stimulus mostly generates inflation rather than output growth. To do this, I construct price-setting models with "volatility …Is monetary policy less effective at increasing real output during periods of high volatility than during normal times …? In this paper, I argue that greater volatility leads to an increase in aggregate price flexibility so that nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459514
In the data, prices change both temporarily and permanently. Standard Calvo models focus on permanent price changes and take one of two shortcuts when confronted with the data: drop temporary changes from the data or leave them in and treat them as permanent. We provide a menu cost model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464255
inflation is inertial. Microeconomic data indicate that firms change prices frequently. We formulate and estimate a model which … resolves this apparent micro - macro conflict. Our model is consistent with post-war U.S. evidence on inflation inertia even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467653
with current wage inflation of 6.5 percent - the highest level experienced in the past 40 years - and that firm-side slack … measures predict further increases in wage inflation over the coming year. Finally, we show that high levels of wage inflation … results suggest a very low likelihood that the Federal Reserve can reduce inflation without causing a significant slowdown in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191004
activity and inflation as latent variables. We incorporate these latent variables into a factor-augmented vector autoregression … activity and inflation, consistent with previous studies. In contrast to much of the literature, however, we find that central …-bank-determined changes in Chinese interest rates also have substantial impacts on economic activity and inflation, while other measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458147
This paper introduces a new approach to the empirical testing of the Lucas- Sargent-Wallace (LSW) "policy ineffectiveness proposition." Instead of testing that hypothesis in isolation from any plausible alternative, the paper develops a single empirical equation explaining price change that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478371
industries. Meanwhile governments responded with unprecedented stimulus packages, and inflation increased to its highest values … in 40 years. In this paper I investigate the contribution of aggregate monetary and fiscal policies to inflation … heterogeneous supply curves, industry-specific shocks to inelastically supplied goods increase aggregate inflation through a cost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512048
, and show that it has significant explanatory power for the evolution of macroeconomic volatility. We define "fundamental …" volatility as the volatility that would arise from an economy made entirely of idiosyncratic microeconomic shocks, occurring … different sectors vary over time (in a way we directly measure), while the volatility of those sectors remains constant. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462232
volatility literature, namely its relative neglect of the connection between macroeconomic fundamentals and asset return … volatility. We progress by analyzing a broad international cross section of stock markets covering approximately forty countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464380
shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility … economy. Moreover, investors have historically paid large premia to hedge shocks to realized but not implied volatility. A … model in which fundamental shocks are skewed left can match those facts. Aggregate volatility matters, but it is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453915