Showing 1 - 10 of 5,291
Finance theory suggests that changes in exchange rates should have little influence on asset prices in a world that has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470601
show that negative export-price shocks reduce fiscal revenue and increase the likelihood of an expected currency … relationship between export-price shocks and currency-risk premia in emerging market economies, indicating that negative export …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455836
We examine the evolution of international currency exposures, with a particular focus on the 2002-12 period. During the run up to the global financial crisis, there was a widespread shift towards positive net foreign currency positions, such that relatively few countries exhibited the archetypal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457846
Separate literatures study violations of uncovered interest parity using regression-based and portfolio-based methods. We propose a decomposition of these violations into a cross-currency, a between-time-and-currency, and a cross-time component that allows us to analytically relate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458373
In this paper, we explore the link between stress in the domestic financial sector and the capital flight faced by countries in the 2008-9 global crisis. Both the timing of emergence of internal financial stress in developing economies, and the size of the peak-trough declines in the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462052
This study quantifies the importance of a Global Financial Cycle (GFCy) for capital flows. We use capital flow data dis-aggregated by direction and type between 1990Q1 and 2015Q5 for 85 countries, and conventional techniques, models and metrics. Since the GFCy is an unobservable concept, we use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454983
In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle' that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469490
Crony capitalism and self-fulfilling expectations by international creditors are often suggested as two rival explanations for currency crisis. This paper examines a possible linkage between the two that has not been explored much in the literature: corruption may affect a country's composition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470539
world are debt-led and the factors associated with debt-led episodes are similar to the factors behind episodes identified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460334
This study presents a general methodology for fitting multiple time series models to panel data. The basic statistical … panel data, and it identifies those instances in which procedures found in the time series literature cannot be directly … applied to analyze longitudinal data. Data analysis techniques in the tine series literature are adapted for panel data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478475