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competition from low-wage countries, especially China, laid the groundwork, but was not the catalyst for the reversal in attitudes … policy, export restrictions in particular, to halt China's technological development. The future of globalization is highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250133
Over the WTO years, the frequency of disputes and court rulings has trended downwards. Such trends are sometimes interpreted as symptoms of a dispute resolution system in decline. In this paper we propose a theory that can explain these trends as a result of judicial learning; thus according to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453937
Using both the onset of the US-China trade war in 2018 and the most recent Russia-Ukraine war and associated trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576650
Motivated by the historically tense geopolitical situation in Southeast Asia, we simulate the potential closure of key maritime waterways in the region to predict the impact on trade and welfare. We generate initial (unobstructed) and counterfactual (rerouted) least-cost maritime paths between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482267
International disputes over subsidies are increasingly disrupting the world trading system. The creation of the WTO was nearly prevented by disputes in the Uruguay Round of GATT negotiations over the issue of negotiating disciplines on agricultural subsidies, an issue which continues to plague...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468402
This paper tries to make sense of the recent trade dispute between the U.S. and Japan in autos and auto parts. The paper argues that there are structural differences between the way that the auto industries are organized in the U.S. and Japan, and that these differences have contributed to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473520
This paper uses U.S. loan-level credit register data and the 2018-2019 Trade War to test for the effects of international trade uncertainty on domestic credit supply. We exploit cross-sectional heterogeneity in banks' ex-ante exposure to trade uncertainty and find that an increase in trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436991
This paper quantifies the positive and normative impact of Bretton Woods capital controls on global and regional economic activity. A three-region DSGE capital flows accounting framework consisting of the U.S., Western Europe, and the Rest of the World (ROW) is developed to quantify capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337829
In 2018, the US launched a trade war with China, an abrupt departure from its historical leadership in integrating … global markets. By late 2019, the US had tariffed roughly $350 billion of Chinese imports, and China had retaliated on $100 …, China and other countries. This article reviews what we have learned to date from this work …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629535
The US trade war against China in 2018-2019 can either enhance or diminish the US soft power in China, depending on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191093