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The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of … determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the present value of surpluses drives unexpected inflation. I use … fiscal theory to interpret historical episodes, including the rise and fall of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361983
In response to the Global Financial Crisis, central banks engaged in large-scale asset purchases funded by the issuance of reserves. These "unconventional" policies continued during the pandemic, so that by 2022 central banks' balance sheets had grown up to ten-fold. As a result of rapidly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544756
inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477228
We conduct a systematic analysis of the costs and benefits of large-scale securities purchases, using the Federal Reserve's QE4 program as a concrete example. This program was initiated at the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 and continued for two years, leading to a doubling of the Fed's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477241
In his 2004 inflation targeting manifesto, Marvin Goodfriend described US monetary policy as implicit inflation … targeting and advocated explicit targeting. Summarizing the 1965-2000 US inflation experience, he highlighted the importance of …, no conflict arises between flexible inflation targeting and maintaining/accumulating credibility. Second, implicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210040
Existing high-frequency monetary policy shocks explain surprisingly little variation in stock prices and exchange rates around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-based procedure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665
Inflation targets were introduced well ahead of the development of the theory of inflation targeting. The practice was … determination of the price level. But inflation targeting does not constitute a new theory of the monetary transmission mechanism …. The belief that it does led to the replacement of Milton Friedman's dictum that "inflation is always and everywhere a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576623
, we document several potential fiscal dominance effects during 2000-2017 under Inflation Targeting (IT), and non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479945
We provide a comprehensive assessment of leading monetary policy frameworks away from and at the ELB. Inflation … targeting, dual mandate, average inflation targeting under 4- and 10-period horizons, price level targeting, and nominal GDP … targeting. More history dependence worsens macroeconomic stability. Inflation expectations are managed better when mandates are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435092
observe that participants can learn to coordinate on high inflation full-employment equilibria. Permanent deleveraging shocks …. Permanently increasing the central bank's inflation target is insufficient to generate inflationary expectations due to low … central bank credibility. Negative interest rates stimulate spending and generate the necessary inflation for the economies to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334336