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States, Canada, Germany, and several other OECD countries during and after the Great Recession of 2008-09. Unemployment rates … increased moderately in Canada. More recent data also show that, unlike Germany and Canada, the U.S. unemployment rate remains … did not change substantially in Germany, increased and remained at relatively high levels in the United States, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457972
This paper studies the connection between the stock market and the unemployment rate. I establish three facts. First …, the log of the real value of the S&P 500 and the log of a logistic transformation of the unemployment rate are non …-stationary cointegrated series. Second, the stock market Granger causes the unemployment rate. Third, the connection between changes in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459270
This paper studies the effect of changes in economic conditions on crime. We exploit the 1990s trade liberalization in … tariff reductions experienced a temporary increase in crime following liberalization. Next, we investigate through what … channels the trade-induced economic shocks may have affected crime. We show that the shocks had significant effects on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455281
years, with particular focus on the Great Recession. It shows that county level unemployment rates are spatially dispersed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460213
The Great Depression of the 1930s led contemporaries to worry that people hit by hard times would turn to crime in … at the roots of crime" by providing subsistence income to needy families. After constructing a panel data set for 81 … on crime rates. The analysis suggests that a ten percent increase in relief spending during the 1930s lowered property …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465832
We show that skill requirements in job vacancy postings differentially increased in MSAs that were hit hard by the Great Recession, relative to less hard-hit areas. These increases persist through at least the end of 2015 and are correlated with increases in capital investments, both at the MSA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455918
The severity of the Great Depression in the United States varied by region. Most notably compared with the rest of the country, the South Atlantic states experienced a milder contraction while the Mountain states suffered more severely. The impact of the contraction was more" uniform across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472525
By how much does an extension of unemployment benefits affect macroeconomic outcomes such as unemployment? Answering … this question is challenging because U.S. law extends benefits for states experiencing high unemployment. We use data … and find that they increased the unemployment rate by at most 0.3 percentage point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456512
accessibility to appropriate jobs should shorten the duration of unemployment. We focus on lower-income workers with strong labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458598
, primarily through an increase in guilty pleas. Pre-trial detention has no detectable effect on future crime, but decreases pre …-trial crime and failures to appear in court. We also find suggestive evidence that pre-trial detention decreases formal sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578513