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consumption, and the total dollar costs of completely insuring against temperature variation are 2.46% of world GDP. If we allow … world GDP. We show that the same features, long-run risks and recursive-preferences, that account for the risk-free rate and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461084
We develop a theory of interstate conflict in which the degree of genealogical relatedness between populations has a … to go to war with each other, even after controlling for a wide set of measures of geographic distance and other factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463555
We investigate the long-run effects of cooling on conflict. We construct a geo-referenced and digitized database of conflicts in Europe, North Africa, and the Near East from 1400-1900, which we merge with historical temperature data. We show that cooling is associated with increased conflict....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455647
This paper develops an explanation for historical differences in the ways in which territorial disputes between sovereign states have been resolved. The main innovation in the analysis is to allow for three possible equilibria: ú an unfortified border; ú a fortified but peaceful border; and ú...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469063
If satisfaction with life (SWL) is used to measure individual wellbeing, the dispersion of its distribution offers a comprehensive measure of inequality that subsumes the many and various component forms of inequality in particular domains. The cross-country correlation between the level of SWL...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456772
Schumpeter's concept of creative destruction as the engine of capitalist development is well-known. However, that the destructive part of creative destruction is a social cost and therefore biases our estimate of the impact of the innovation on NNP and on welfare is hardly acknowledged, with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458287
The paper argues that Lucas overestimates the Friedman-Bailey type of welfare cost of inflation and neglects other important welfare effects. With an alternative interpretation of the non-observability of low interest rates than the one Lucas gave and the introduction of taxes that reduce the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471828
Using a general equilibrium model of the United States economy,we examine the combined welfare cost of all taxes in the U.S. revenue system.We find that the welfare losses caused by distortionary taxation can be very large, both on average and at the margin.The marginal welfare loss to consumers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478062
In this paper I attempt to clarify the nature of the losses associated with inflation within a conventional model of a competitive economy. I shall argue that were inflation fully anticipated, it would be "almost neutral" provided (a) that the tax system were fully indexed and (b) that interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478637
At a minimum, this paper should serve as a warning against too easy an acceptance of the view that the costs of sustained inflation are small relative to the costs of unemployment. If a temporary reduction in unemployment causes a permanent increase in inflation, the present value of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478932