Showing 1 - 10 of 1,117
This paper develops a structural VAR model to measure how a shock to one country can affect the GDP of other countries. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output fluctuations. The paper introduces a new specification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470116
The remarkable decline in macroeconomic volatility experienced by the U.S. economy since the mid-80s (the so-called Great Moderation) has been accompanied by large changes in the patterns of comovements among output, hours and labor productivity. Those changes are reflected in both conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464476
We develop a state-space model with a state-transition equation that takes the form of a functional vector autoregression and stacks macroeconomic aggregates and a cross-sectional density. The measurement equation captures the error in estimating log densities from repeated cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533402
growth rates for the key emerging markets and other developing economies in Asia. China has by far the lowest share of … private consumption to GDP in Asia and, during this decade, has recorded the lowest rate of employment growth relative to GDP … and Vietnam. <br> <br>To examine the global implications of domestic growth patterns in Asia, I analyze saving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463480
spectacular advances of the economies of China, India, and Southeast Asia. Section 1 reviews the debate over the sources of … the new recognition among Western economists that the sustained, very rapid growth in China and Southeast Asia was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463682
We analyze the impact of China's growth on the exports of other Asian countries. Our innovation is to distinguish the increase in China's demand for imports from its increased penetration of export markets. Using the gravity model, we disaggregate among commodity types and account for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467922
To American and European economists in 1945, the countries of Asia were unpromising candidates for high economic growth … Asia experienced vigorous economic growth, some with growth rates far exceeding the previous growth rates of the … economic growth would falter, proved to be incorrect. Growth rates will probably continue at high levels in Southeast Asia for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467938
In this paper we derive the standard error of a price index when both prices and tastes or technology are treated as stochastic. Changing tastes or technology are a reason for the weights in the price index to be treated as stochastic, which can interact with the stochastic prices themselves. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468497
Despite an enormous literature that has analyzed the comparative experiences of Latin America and Asia in post … highest tariff barriers on earth before 1914; Asia had the lowest. Protected Latin America's belle ‚poque also boasted some of … the most explosive growth performance on earth, while Asia registered some of the worst. What brought the two regions to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469302
Asia during this century than in any other region or historical period. By introducing demographic variables into an … empirical model of economic growth, this essay shows that this transition has contributed substantially to East Asia's so …-called economic miracle. The 'miracle' occurred in part because East Asia's demographic transition resulted in its working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472544