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market responses in recent midterm elections to Presidential elections. We use prediction markets tracking election outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465910
can affect voter turnout and election outcomes. We do so using historical data on more than 2,000 races in Florida and … small effect on turnout. Similarly, we also show under a range of conservative assumptions that very few election results … or critics were true, strict identification laws are unlikely to have a meaningful impact on turnout or election outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480150
We study the contribution of economic conditions to the success of the first avowedly nativist political party in the United States. The Know-Nothing Party gained control of a number of state governments in the 1854-1856 elections running on a staunchly anti-Catholic and anti-Irish platform. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482297
Polities differ in the extent to which political parties can pre-commit to carry out promised policy actions if they take power. Commitment problems may arise due to a divergence between the ex ante incentives facing national parties that seek to capture control of the legislature and the ex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467285
One frequently overlooked aspect of the U.S.-style electoral college system is that it discourages election fraud. In a … presidential election based on the popular vote, competing political parties are motivated to manipulate votes in areas where they … electoral college system provides more effective protection against election fraud compared to the popular vote system. While …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322861
In this paper we document the impact of immigration at the regional level on Europeans' political preferences as expressed by voting behavior in parliamentary or presidential elections between 2007 and 2016. We combine individual data on party voting with a classification of each party's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480728
We study vote trading among U.S. Congress members. By tracking roll-call votes within bills across five legislatures and politicians' personal connections made during the school years, we document a propensity of connected legislators to vote together that depends on how salient the bill is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250186
members of the Turkish Parliament, we find that losing immunity pacifies the MPs of the opposition parties. They become less … diligent in the Parliament (drafting fewer pieces of legislation, initiating fewer investigation inquiries, delivering fewer … get re-nominated by their parties in the next election, and they are less likely to get re-elected. We find no evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496085
of winning the election, the strong prediction of complete policy divergence. The evidence is more consistent with full …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469391
Electoral incentives may lead policymakers to eschew opportunities for common-interest reform, focusing instead on zero-sum, partisan policymaking. By forgoing opportunities for common-interest reforms, incumbents may convince their constituents that such reforms are rarely feasible, so that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436958