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The paper develops a general methodology for analyzing policies with path-dependency (hysteresis) in stochastic models … dynamics of hysteresis with respect to time, a form of a time derivative, and the expected dynamics of hysteresis with the …, we propose a general class of hysteresis functionals that permits significant tractability. Second, we characterize in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510590
for 29 countries from the OECD. We find strong evidence of hysteresis: an innovation in u causes u* to change in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660021
hysteresis embodying the idea that the equilibrium unemployment rate depends on the history of the actual unemployment rate. This … paper summarizes two directions of research on hysteresis that appear especially promising. Membership theories are based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477034
European unemployment is widely regarded as a problem of excessive real wages. This view as it is usually expressed carries the disturbing implication that there is a sharp conflict between the interests of those currently employed and the unemployed because it suggests that increases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477035
returns to its previous level. When we develop a simple model of the feedback from "hysteresis" in trade to the exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477053
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477122
Knife-edge stability is a common property of dynamic monetary models assuming perfect foresight or rational expectations. These models can be closed with the assumption that the economy's equilibrium lies on the unique convergent path (the saddlepath). While this empirically plausible assumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478256
-home wages did not respond). Second, we document novel labor-demand-driven "hysteresis" from this policy - i.e. persistent … reform level in the formerly subsidized ages. These hysteresis effects triple the direct employment effects of the reform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480335
How much ability does the Fed have to stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates? We argue that the presence of substantial debt in fixed-rate, prepayable mortgages means that the ability to stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates depends not just on their current level but also on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480809
I develop a version of the New Keynesian model with insider-outsider labor markets and hysteresis that can account for … fails to deliver, with the gap between the two increasing in the degree of hysteresis. Two simple targetiing rules are shown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481580