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Voting on a Trade Agreement : Firm Networks and Attitudes Toward Openness
Van Patten, Diana; Méndez, Esteban - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
voters who are aligned with pro-FTA political candidates. We find that import competition plays a role in explaining votes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210086
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Hidden Exposure : Measuring US Supply Chain Reliance
Baldwin, Richard E.; Freeman, Rebecca; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
Supply chain problems, previously relegated to specialized journals, now appear in G7 Leaders' Communiqués. Our paper looks at three core elements of the problems: measurement of the links that expose supply chains to disruptions, the nature of the shocks that cause the disruptions, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421246
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Horses for Courses : Measuring Foreign Supply Chain Exposure
Baldwin, Richard E.; Freeman, Rebecca; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
Perceptions of global supply chains (GSCs) have shifted in recent years from a positive to a more cautious view. Standard GSC measures have mostly not adapted to this change as they focus on participation in, rather than exposure to, foreign supply chains. This paper presents the tools necessary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388881
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An Import(ant) Price of Brexit Uncertainty
Graziano, Alejandro G.; Handley, Kyle; Limão, Nuno - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We estimate the impact of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on CES import price indices, focusing on the implications of … U.K. import price indices by raising the prices of existing products and by reducing product variety from the E.U. We … find evidence that the risk of higher import protection from the 2016 referendum increased current import price indices by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337833
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Trade War and Peace : U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015–2050
Alessandria, George A.; Khan, Shafaat Yar; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We use the dynamics of U.S. imports across goods in the period around the U.S.-China trade war with a model of exporter dynamics to estimate the dynamic path of the probability of transiting between Normal Trade Relations and a trade war state. We find (i) there was no increase in the likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486241
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Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure
Autor, David - 2016
Has rising import competition contributed to the polarization of U.S. politics? Analyzing outcomes from the 2002 and … records, we find strong evidence that congressional districts exposed to larger increases in import penetration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456043
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Neoclassical Growth in an Interdependent World
Kleinman, Benny; Liu, Ernest; Redding, Stephen; Yogo, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We generalize the closed-economy neoclassical growth model (CNGM) to allow for costly goods trade and capital flows with imperfect substitutability between countries. We develop a tractable, multi-country, quantitative model that matches key features of the observed data (e.g., gravity equations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447272
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Globalization and Profitability of US Firms : The Role of Intangibles
Chintha, Bullipe R.; Jagannathan, Ravi; Sridhar, Sri S. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
China's admission into the WTO in 2001 heralded a new era of globalization, increasing both import competition in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512056
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Bound by Ancestors : Immigration, Credit Frictions, and Global Supply Chain Formation
Choi, Jaerim; Hyun, Jay; Park, Ziho - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper shows that the ancestry composition shaped by century-long immigration to the US can explain the current structure of global supply chain networks. Using an instrumental variable strategy, combined with a novel dataset that links firm-to-firm global supply chain information with a US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250174
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A Theory of Trade Policy Transitions
Bowen, T. Renee; Broz, J. Lawrence; Rosendorff, B. Peter - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
factors specific to export and import-competing sectors respectively. Consistent with the post-Civil War Era of Restriction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372419