We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …

The US and other advanced countries suffered bursts of severe inflation in 2021 and the first half of 2022, followed by … declines of inflation later in 2022, in some countries. In times of high volatility of price determinants--cost and … productivity--inflation can jump upward and fall downward at high speed, contrary to the uniformly sticky behavior associated with …

The past half-century has seen major shifts in inflation expectations, how inflation comoves with the business cycle … on how inflation is priced in financial markets. Not all inflation episodes are created equal. Using in a New Keynesian … model, we show how "good" inflation can be linked to demand shocks and "bad" inflation to supply shocks driving the economy …

We study the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on Euro Area inflation and how it compares to the experiences of other …-output linkages, affecting both trade and inflation. 2) Inflation can be higher under sector-specific labor shortages relative to a … domestic aggregate demand shocks in explaining Euro Area inflation over 2020-21. 4) International trade did not respond to …

policy on U.S. inflation over the Dec-2019 to June-2022 period. Model calibrations show that aggregate demand shocks explain … roughly two-thirds of total model-based inflation, and that the fiscal stimulus contributed half or more of the total …

Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …

This paper studies people's understanding of inflation--their perceived causes, consequences, trade-offs--and the … views align with established economic theories. Our key findings show that the major perceived causes of inflation include … negative consequences of inflation but the most noted one is the increased complexity and difficulty in household decision …

inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …