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In order to quantify these effects, we develop a computational general equilibrium model. We feed this multi-country overlapping generations model with detailed long-term demographic projections for seven world regions. Our simulations indicate that capital flows from fast-aging regions to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466821
paper focuses on the pension reform process in Europe. It links the causes for current problems to the cures required to … make the pay-as-you-go entitlement programs in Continental Europe sustainable above and beyond the financial crisis. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460651
The ageing of the population presents a major fiscal challenge for the countries of Europe. The combination of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465924
three approaches to analyze debt sustainability in the United States and Europe after the recent surge in public debt … traditional approach to evaluate debt sustainability, and examine three alternative approaches that provide useful econometric and … model-simulation tools to analyze debt sustainability. The first approach is Bohn's non-structural empirical framework based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457095
The extent of the demographic changes in Europe is dramatic and will deeply affect future labor, financial and goods … weaken reform policies? Can Old Europe maintain its standard of living even if behavioral reactions offset some of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462881
After presenting the Gruber-Wise analysis showing a strong effect on retirement of implicit taxes from pension rules, it is shown that there is no effect of these implicit taxes on unemployment. This supports the argument for avoiding high implicit taxes on continued work. Also discussed are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466794
The upcoming demographic crisis in Germany demands fundamental reforms of the pension system. In a democracy, reforms are, however, only feasible when they are supported by the majority of the electorate. To determine whether the majority is in favor of reforms of the pension system, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470215
Projected demographic changes in industrialized and developing countries vary in extent and timing but will reduce the share of the population in working age everywhere. Conventional wisdom suggests that this will increase capital intensity with falling rates of return to capital and increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459805
A problem facing the United States is financing retirement consumption as its population ages. Proposals for switching to a saving-for-retirement system that do not rely on high payroll taxes have been challenged on the grounds that welfare for some cohorts will fall. We show how to devise a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459901
Aging populations in advanced economies are placing ever-increasing demands on government spending in the form of old-age benefits. Economies that have promised substantially more benefits than they have made provision to finance are heading into a prolonged era of fiscal stress. Unresolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461838