Showing 1 - 10 of 1,352
This paper develops a framework to study the management of international reserves when a government faces the risk of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544672
Emerging economies that are large oil producers have sizable external debt, their country risk rises when oil prices … risk on impact and in the long-run, oil reserves reduce it marginally on impact but increase it in the long-run. We propose … dynamics of reserves and country risk in response to oil-price shocks switch from negatively correlated on impact to positively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247980
about default risk before trading in primary and secondary markets. If primary markets are structured as multi … result, shocks to default risk in one country may trigger crisis episodes with widespread information acquisition, sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334434
The sharp, secular decline in the world real interest rate of the past thirty years suggests that the surge in global demand for financial assets outpaced the growth in their supply. We argue that this phenomenon was driven by: (i) faster growth in emerging markets, (ii) changes in the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537726
We study the extent to which the perceived cost of losing the exorbitant privilege the US holds in global safe asset markets sustains the safety of its public debt. Our findings indicate that the loss of this special status in the event of a default significantly augments the debt capacity for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486221
Advanced economies borrowed substantially during the Covid recession to fund their fiscal policy. The Covid recession differed from the Great Recession in that sovereign debt markets remained calm and spreads barely responded. We study the experience of Greece, the most extreme manifestation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468244
debt has adverse effects on default risk, debt-carrying capacity and asset prices and is therefore welfare detrimental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072889
-household income insurance mechanism strongly biases upward the welfare losses from idiosyncratic wage risk as well as the desired …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480409
We develop a new framework for valuing health and longevity improvements that departs from conventional but unrealistic assumptions of full annuitization and deterministic health. Our framework can value the prevention of mortality and of illness, and it can quantify the effects of retirement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480708
We propose several econometric measures of systemic risk to capture the interconnectedness among the monthly returns of … find that all four sectors have become highly interrelated over the past decade, increasing the level of systemic risk in … of market dislocation, and systemic risk arises from a complex and dynamic network of relationships among hedge funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462432