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domestic welfare through two channels. First, by reducing export income volatility and allowing for a smoother consumption path …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463197
This paper studies the incidence of civil war over time. We put forward a canonical model of civil war, which relates the incidence of conflict to circumstances, institutions and features of the underlying economy and polity. We use this model to derive testable predictions and to interpret the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464064
The purpose of this paper is to investigate why the choice of invoice currency under exchange rate uncertainty depends not only on expectations but also on history. The analysis is motivated by the fact that the U.S. dollar has historically been the dominant vehicle currency in developing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466232
This paper deals with the role of trade regimes in determining economic performance and growth in the developing countries. The policy and empirical literatures on trade orientation and economic growth are critically reviewed; it is argued that a key limitation of these works has been the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476146
Japanese exports between 1880 and 1910 increased massively in volume, changed composition, and shifted away from leading industrialized countries toward poorer Asian neighbors. The product mix also varied with the level of development of the destination, with new products and specializations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455200
This paper analyzes optimal portfolio choice and consumption with stochastic volatility in incomplete markets. Using … for stocks under stochastic volatility varies strongly with the investor's coefficient of relative risk aversion, but only … preference parameters. This paper also shows that stochastic variation in volatility produces an optimal intertemporal hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471407
-of-sample volatility of optimized portfolios from each model. A few factors capture the general covariance structure but adding more … yield similar results. Using a tracking error volatility criterion, larger differences appear, with particularly favorable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471761
We analyze an environment where the uncertainty in the equity market return and its volatility are both stochastic, and … earned for facing uncertainty, especially high uncertainty that is disconnected from lower volatility, rather than for facing … volatility as traditionally assumed. Incorporating the possibility of a disconnect between volatility and uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616642
uncertainty. The results dictate the role of uncertainty and volatility in structural models and we show they are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
We perform an experimental study of complexity to assess its effect on trading behavior, price volatility, liquidity …. Complexity altered subjects' bidding strategies, decreased liquidity, increased price volatility, and decreased trade efficiency … complex treatment. Our analysis suggests that complexity may be a driver of volatility and liquidity in financial markets and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462469