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We investigate the event-based geopolitical shocks from the Russian invasion of Ukraine on selected agricultural and energy commodities using daily event-based structural vector autoregression (SVAR). We find that the geopolitical shock affects the markets of wheat (3%) and European natural gas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447271
From 2015 to 2023, the United States transformed from a net importer of natural gas to the world's largest liquified natural gas (LNG) exporter. We find that this surge in LNG exports has reconnected U.S. gas prices to world market prices, after a hiatus of "shut-in" fracked gas. We estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512082
The shift towards a "factory-free" economy has drawn the attention of policy makers in North America and Europe. Some politicians have articulated alarming views, initiating mercantilist or 'beggar-thy-neighbour' cost-competitiveness policies. Yet companies that concentrate research and design...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455664
The high pace of reallocation across producers is pervasive in the U.S. economy. Evidence shows this high pace of reallocation is closely linked to productivity. While these patterns hold on average, the extent to which the reallocation dynamics in recessions are "cleansing" is an open question....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458240
Between 1880 and 1920, the US agricultural employment share fell from 50% to 25%. However, despite aggregate demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388845
rising relative wages and quantities of high-skilled labor. We develop a theory where demand shifts toward ever more skill …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463825
demand side has responded to geopolitical developments by devising a set of policy tools to stabilize oil markets and counter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322883
The growing "electrify everything" movement aims to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by transitioning households and firms away from natural gas toward electricity. This paper considers what this transition means for the customers who are left behind. Like most natural monopolies, natural gas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585439
Electrification of transportation and buildings to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions requires massive switching from natural gas and refined petroleum products. All three end-use energy sources are mispriced due in part to the unpriced pollution they emit. Natural gas and electricity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616566
I study how online competition, with its algorithmic pricing technologies and the transparency of the Internet, can change the pricing behavior of large retailers and affect aggregate inflation dynamics. In particular, I show that online competition has raised both the frequency of price changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480790