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joint effects of data snooping and spurious regression. We find that the regressions are reasonably well specified for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466003
Even though stock returns are not highly autocorrelated, there is a spurious regression bias in predictive regressions … variables interacts with spurious regression bias. The two effects reinforce each other, because more highly persistent series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469566
We study how organizational boundaries affect pricing decisions using comprehensive data from a large U.S. airline. We document that the firm's advanced pricing algorithm, utilizing inputs from different organizational teams, is subject to multiple biases. To quantify the impacts of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696417
We propose an approach to measuring the state of the economy via textual analysis of business news. From the full text content of 800,000 Wall Street Journal articles for 1984{2017, we estimate a topic model that summarizes business news as easily interpretable topical themes and quantifies the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479172
The last 40 years have seen huge innovations in computing technology and data availability. Data derived from millions of administrative records or by using (as we do) new methods of data generation such as text mining are now common. New data often requires new methods, which in turn can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479239
We introduce a new text-mining methodology that extracts sentiment information from news articles to predict asset returns. Unlike more common sentiment scores used for stock return prediction (e.g., those sold by commercial vendors or built with dictionary-based methods), our supervised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480131
A key challenge for research on many questions in the social sciences is that it is difficult to link historical records in a way that allows investigators to observe people at different points in their life or across generations. In this paper, we develop a new approach that relies on millions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480171
consumers of different socio-economic backgrounds and profitability. We find that a traditional regression analysis using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480230
Big data is revolutionizing the finance industry and has the potential to significantly shape future research in finance. This special issue contains articles following the 2019 NBER/ RFS conference on big data. In this Introduction to the special issue, we define the "Big Data" phenomenon as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496169
Using a novel database that tracks web traffic on the SEC's EDGAR servers between 2004 and 2015, we show that mutual fund managers gather information on a very particular subset of firms and insiders, and their surveillance is very persistent over time. This tracking behavior has powerful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452920