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associated with a stronger relationship between premiums and local disaster risk: A one standard-deviation increase in disaster …-through of reinsurance costs. Third, we project that if the reinsurance shock persists, growing disaster risk will lead climate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576608
This paper studies China's four-fold increase in per capita GDP relative to the U.S. between 1995 and 2019. First, we argue that China's growth pattern is very similar to that of several other East Asia economies that initially grew very quickly. Second, we show that a minimalist...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322739
We develop a novel method for assessing the effect of constraints imposed by spatially-fixed natural resources on aggregate economic output. We apply it to estimate and compare the projected effects of climate change and population growth over the course of the 21st century, by country and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486236
We provide the planner's solution to a model where households learn from exogenous natural disaster arrivals about … since disaster leads to pessimistic arrival-rate beliefs and taxes or mandates to fund mitigation, which reduce consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482023
This paper documents several facts on the real effects of economic uncertainty. First, higher uncertainty is associated with a more dispersed distribution of output growth. Second, the relation is highly asymmetric: A rise in uncertainty is associated with a sharp decline in the lower tail of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482243
pre-disaster trend, and do not recover within twenty years. Both rich and poor countries exhibit this response, with … suppression of annual growth rates spread across the fifteen years following disaster, generating large and significant cumulative … continuous exposure to disaster. Linking these results to projections of future cyclone activity, we estimate that under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458315
A growing body of evidence suggests that uncertainty is counter cyclical, rising sharply in recessions and falling in booms. But what is the causal relationship between uncertainty and growth? To identify this we construct cross country panel data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459187
The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) represents the largest federal response to climate change to date. We highlight the key climate provisions and assess the Act's potential economic impacts. Substantially higher investments in clean energy and electric vehicles imply that fiscal costs may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287367
Climate change is making natural disasters more frequent, yet little is known about the capacity of firms to withstand such disasters and adapt to their increased frequency. We examine this issue using a the latest wave of the World Management Survey (WMS) that includes new questions on firms'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576624
The impact of exposure to a major unanticipated natural disaster on the evolution of survivors' attitudes toward risk … assume greater financial risk in the short-term while rebuilding their lives after the disaster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250120