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-consistent expectations. This implicitly assumes unrealistic cognitive abilities on the part of economic decision makers. The relevant … question, however, is not whether the assumption can be literally correct, but how much it would matter to model decision … problems such as chess or go, in which decision makers look ahead only a finite distance into the future, and use a value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453028
We review how realistic frictions in information and/or rationality arrest general equilibrium (GE) feedbacks. In one specification, we maintain rational expectations but remove common knowledge of aggregate shocks. In another, we replace rational expectations with Level-k Thinking or a smooth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938745
Does bounded rationality make paternalism more attractive? This Essay argues that errors will be larger when suppliers have stronger incentives or lower costs of persuasion and when consumers have weaker incentives to learn the truth. These comparative statics suggest that bounded rationality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466882
We assume that the instantaneous riskless rate reverts towards a central tendency which in turn, is changing stochastically over time. As a result, current short-term rates are not" sufficient to predict future short-term rates movements, as would be the case if the central" tendency was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472491
Motivated by recent developments in the bounded rationality and strategic complementarity literatures, we examine an intentionally simple and stylized aggregative economic model, when the assumptions of fully rational expectations and no strategic interactions are relaxed. We show that small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473377
the cost of generating the information used to make a decision through a dynamic evidence accumulation process. We … alternative rational inattention theory better conform with evidence from perceptual discrimination experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453924
This paper extends the benchmark New-Keynesian model with a representative agent and rational expectations by introducing two key frictions: (1) agent heterogeneity with incomplete markets, uninsurable idiosyncratic risk, and occasionally-binding borrowing constraints; and (2) bounded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455400
A number of consequences emerge. (i) Fiscal stimulus or \helicopter drops of money" are powerful and, indeed, pull the economy out of the zero lower bound. More generally, the model allows for the joint analysis of optimal monetary and fiscal policy. (ii) The Taylor principle is strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455726
The model of rational inattention with Shannon mutual information costs is increasingly ubiquitous. We introduce a new solution method that lays bare the general behavioral properties of this model and liberates development of alternative models. We experimentally test a key behavioral property...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459344
report ongoing progress that is more fully developed elsewhere. I present some results from a new model in which the decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460875