Showing 1 - 10 of 7,865
This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471074
Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic … empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning literature, with a distinct focus on forecasting applications. Volatility is … inherently latent, and Section 1 begins with a brief intuitive account of various key volatility concepts. Section 2 then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467497
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476706
Major events often trigger abrupt changes in stock prices and volatility. We study the implications of jumps in prices … and volatility on investment strategies. Using the event-risk framework of Duffie, Pan, and Singleton (2000), we provide … become illiquid and the optimal strategy blends both dynamic and buy-and-hold strategies. Jumps in prices and volatility both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469608
It depends. If volatility fluctuates in a forecastable way, then volatility forecasts are useful for risk management …; hence the interest in volatility forecastability in the risk management literature. Volatility forecastability, however … volatility forecastability are plagued by the fact that they are joint assessments of volatility forecastability and an assumed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471968
This paper examines popular advice on portfolio allocation among cash, bonds, and stocks. It documents that this advice is inconsistent with the mutual-fund separation theorem, which states that all investors should hold the same composition of risky assets. In contrast to the theorem, popular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474054
price volatility and "sentiment" fluctuations. We construct a general-equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465249
We show that firms' idiosyncratic volatility obeys a strong factor structure and that shocks to the common factor in … idiosyncratic volatility (CIV) are priced. Stocks in the lowest CIV-beta quintile earn average returns 5.4% per year higher than … heterogeneous-agent model. In the model, CIV is a priced state variable because an increase in idiosyncratic firm volatility raises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458588
What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467618
We perform an experimental study of complexity to assess its effect on trading behavior, price volatility, liquidity …. Complexity altered subjects' bidding strategies, decreased liquidity, increased price volatility, and decreased trade efficiency … complex treatment. Our analysis suggests that complexity may be a driver of volatility and liquidity in financial markets and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462469