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How Abundant Are Reserves? Evidence from the Wholesale Payment System
Afonso, Gara; Duffie, Darrell; Rigon, Lorenzo; Shin, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477228
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Fiscal Histories
Cochrane, John H. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of … determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the present value of surpluses drives unexpected inflation. I use … fiscal theory to interpret historical episodes, including the rise and fall of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361983
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Monetary Transmission Through Bank Securities Portfolios
Greenwald, Daniel; Krainer, John; Paul, Pascal - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We study the transmission of monetary policy through bank securities portfolios using granular supervisory data on U.S. bank securities, hedging positions, and corporate credit. Banks that experienced larger losses on their securities during the 2022-2023 monetary tightening cycle extended less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544727
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Money Matters : Broad Divisia Money and the Recovery of Nominal GDP from the COVID-19 Recession
Bordo, Michael D.; Duca, John V. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
The rise of inflation in 2021 and 2022 surprised many macroeconomists who ignored the earlier surge in money growth … seeks to restore low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322692
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On Digital Currencies
Uhlig, Harald - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
I discuss private and central-bank-issued digital currencies, summarizing my prior research. I argue that prices of private digital currencies such as bitcoin follow random walks or, more generally, risk-adjusted martingales. For central bank digital currencies, I argue that they enhance the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486250
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Fiscal Consequences of Central Bank Losses
Cecchetti, Stephen G.; Hilscher, Jens - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
In response to the Global Financial Crisis, central banks engaged in large-scale asset purchases funded by the issuance of reserves. These "unconventional" policies continued during the pandemic, so that by 2022 central banks' balance sheets had grown up to ten-fold. As a result of rapidly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544756
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Quantifying the Costs and Benefits of Quantitative Easing
Levin, Andrew T.; Lu, Brian L.; Nelson, William R. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We conduct a systematic analysis of the costs and benefits of large-scale securities purchases, using the Federal Reserve's QE4 program as a concrete example. This program was initiated at the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 and continued for two years, leading to a doubling of the Fed's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477241
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Sticky Discount Rates
Fukui, Masao; Gormsen, Niels; Huber, Kilian - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real … shocks and higher investment in response to government spending. Sticky discount rates imply that inflation has real effects … inflation expectations and permanently lowers the long-run inflation target in response to expansionary shocks, even when shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
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Monetary Policy without Moving Interest Rates : The Fed Non-Yield Shock
Boehm, Christoph E.; Kroner, T. Niklas - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Existing high-frequency monetary policy shocks explain surprisingly little variation in stock prices and exchange rates around FOMC announcements. Further, both of these asset classes display heightened volatility relative to non-announcement times. We use a heteroskedasticity-based procedure to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576665
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Loose Monetary Policy and Financial Instability
Grimm, Maximilian; Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
Do periods of persistently loose monetary policy increase financial fragility and the likelihood of a financial crisis? This is a central question for policymakers, yet the literature does not provide systematic empirical evidence about this link at the aggregate level. In this paper we fill...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226155