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Before the era of large central bank balance sheets, banks relied on incoming payments to fund outgoing payments in … order to conserve scarce liquidity. Even in the era of large central bank balance sheets, rather than funding payments with … abundant reserve balances, we show that outgoing payments remain highly sensitive to incoming payments. By providing a window …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477228
Bank-created money, shadow-bank money, and Treasury bonds all satisfy investors' demand for a liquid transaction medium and safe store of value. We measure the quantity of these three forms of liquidity and their corresponding liquidity premium over a sample from 1934 to 2016. We empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210079
This paper introduces an endogenous network of payments chains into a business cycle model. Agents order production in … bilateral relations. Some payments are executed immediately. Other payments, chained payments, are delayed until other payments … are executed. Because production starts only after orders are paid, chained payments induce production delays. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537753
The rise of inflation in 2021 and 2022 surprised many macroeconomists who ignored the earlier surge in money growth because past instability in the demand for simple-sum monetary aggregates had made these aggregates unreliable indicators. We find that the demand for more theoretically-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322692
In response to the Global Financial Crisis, central banks engaged in large-scale asset purchases funded by the issuance of reserves. These "unconventional" policies continued during the pandemic, so that by 2022 central banks' balance sheets had grown up to ten-fold. As a result of rapidly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544756
Inflation targets were introduced well ahead of the development of the theory of inflation targeting. The practice was successful because it comprised a new set of procedures and institutions for setting monetary policy in a transparent and accountable fashion - "constrained discretion"; the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576623
We estimate perceptions about the Fed's monetary policy rule from micro data on professional forecasters. The perceived rule varies significantly over time, with important consequences for monetary policy and bond markets. Over the monetary policy cycle, easings are perceived to be quick and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388836
We conduct a systematic analysis of the costs and benefits of large-scale securities purchases, using the Federal Reserve's QE4 program as a concrete example. This program was initiated at the onset of the pandemic in March 2020 and continued for two years, leading to a doubling of the Fed's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477241
This paper explores how non-U.S. central banks behave when firms in their economies engage in currency mismatch, borrowing more heavily in dollars than justified by their operating exposures. We begin by documenting that, in a panel of 53 countries, central bank holdings of dollar reserves are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477280
I discuss private and central-bank-issued digital currencies, summarizing my prior research. I argue that prices of private digital currencies such as bitcoin follow random walks or, more generally, risk-adjusted martingales. For central bank digital currencies, I argue that they enhance the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486250