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I develop a general characterization of the effect that market incompleteness has on exchange rate dynamics. On the one hand, it weakens the pass-through from a country's marginal utility shocks to its own exchange rate movements; on the other hand, it gives rise to additional variations in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537750
We revisit a central question for international macroeconomics: the response of export prices and quantities to movements in the exchange rate (ER). We use granular export data for Chile and study how the effects of ER movements vary over time with the currency of invoicing and the destination...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486265
This study utilizes the granular Japanese customs data from 2014 to 2020 to examine the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to Japanese import prices. It mainly focuses on the impact of the invoicing currency choice on ERPT. The ERPT elasticity in products invoiced in the exporter's currency is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015072852
Car prices in Europe are characterized by large and persistent differences across countries. The purpose of this paper is to document and explain this price dispersion. Using a panel data set extending from 1980 to 1993, we first demonstrate two main facts concerning car prices in Europe: (1)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471995
Do "real" assets protect against inflation? Core inflation betas of stocks are negative while energy betas are positive …; currencies, commodities, and real estate also mostly hedge against energy inflation but not core. These hedging properties are … reflected in the prices of inflation risks: only core inflation carries a negative risk premium, and its magnitude is consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334388
devaluations within the context of a surge in inflation and a fall and subsequent recovery of real labor income. To better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544772
Sovereign borrowing during inflation surges is a litmus test of a government's ability to withstand and navigate … inflation surges and how policy practices affect their ability to weather inflation shocks. We find that governments rely more … on foreign-currency debt from foreign investors during periods of high inflation. This pattern is particularly prevalent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250190
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748