Showing 1 - 10 of 511
Japan suffered a very high inflation rate in 1973-74. The CPI inflation rate rose to near 30% in 1974, the highest rate …, the oil crisis is blamed for the 1973-74 high inflation. However, due to monetary policy decisions in 1972-73, the … inflation rate had already exceeded 10% before the onset of the oil crisis in October 1973. These decisions include the interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462925
We present a simple long-run aggregate demand and supply framework for evaluating long-run inflation. The framework …-run inflation as well as transitions between steady states. We use the analysis to provide a fresh perspective on the forces that … drove global inflation downward over the past four decades. We argue that for inflation to remain low and stable in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528348
income growth will be divided between inflation and output growth, as well as "velocity" constraints that influence the path …-equation approach to the econometric problem of predicting how changes in nominal GNP growth will be divided between inflation and real … GNP growth. The results from the equation estimated through 1980 are used to examine the behavior of inflation during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477878
This paper presents market-based evidence that President Trump influences expectations about monetary policy. We use tick-by-tick fed funds futures data and a collection of Trump tweets criticizing the conduct of monetary policy and consistently advocating that the Fed lower interest rates....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480253
(GFC) of 2007-2008. It was greatly aided by the adoption of inflation targeting. In this paper we evaluate this convergence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480286
This paper shows that the inability to use monetary policy for macroeconomic stabilization leaves a government more vulnerable to a rollover crisis. We study a sovereign default model with self-fulfilling rollover crises, foreign currency debt, and nominal rigidities. When the government lacks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480991
interest rates by critically surveying theories about (a) optimal anticipated inflation, (b) optimal unanticipated inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481961
In this paper we critically review the literature on the political economy of monetary policy, with an eye on the questions raised by the recent financial crisis. We begin with a discussion of rules versus discretion. We then examine the issue of Central Banks independence both in normal times,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462794
number of developing countries now have domestic inflation targets administered by independent and transparent central banks … monetary policy in these countries does not have any obvious international cost. Inflation targeters have lower exchange rate … volatility and less frequent "sudden stops" of capital flows than similar countries that do not target inflation. Inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465949
financial innovation, adopting an inflation targeting scheme and increased central bank independence have all been associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466725