Showing 1 - 10 of 583
This paper defines risk-on risk-off (RORO), an elusive terminology in pervasive use, as the variation in global investor risk aversion. Our high-frequency RORO index captures time-varying investor risk appetite across multiple dimensions: advanced economy credit risk, equity market volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437038
This paper explores the relationship between different funding structures--including the source, instrument, currency, and counterparty location of funding--and the extent of financial stress experienced in different countries and sectors during the sharp risk-off shock in early 2020 when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287355
Do "real" assets protect against inflation? Core inflation betas of stocks are negative while energy betas are positive …; currencies, commodities, and real estate also mostly hedge against energy inflation but not core. These hedging properties are … reflected in the prices of inflation risks: only core inflation carries a negative risk premium, and its magnitude is consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334388
devaluations within the context of a surge in inflation and a fall and subsequent recovery of real labor income. To better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544772
Sovereign borrowing during inflation surges is a litmus test of a government's ability to withstand and navigate … inflation surges and how policy practices affect their ability to weather inflation shocks. We find that governments rely more … on foreign-currency debt from foreign investors during periods of high inflation. This pattern is particularly prevalent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250190
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748
This paper studies people's understanding of inflation--their perceived causes, consequences, trade-offs--and the … views align with established economic theories. Our key findings show that the major perceived causes of inflation include … negative consequences of inflation but the most noted one is the increased complexity and difficulty in household decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544775
inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544809