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conditional on current information, we propose a new approach to quantile estimation which does not require any of the extreme … variety of dynamic processes for updating the quantile and use regression quantile estimation to determine the parameters of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471443
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472795
What do academics have to offer market risk management practitioners in financial institutions? Current industry practice largely follows one of two extremely restrictive approaches: historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we favor flexible methods based on recent developments in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467618
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … variation, we formally develop the links between the conditional covariancematrix and the concept of realized volatility. Next …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470566
-diffusions, and models of stochastic volatility. This paper explores the statistical properties of these models with a view to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472845
It is well known that high-frequency asset returns are fat-tailed relative to the Gaussian distribution tails are typically reduced but not eliminated when returns are standardized by volatilities estimated from popular models such as GARCH. We consider two major dollar exchange rates, and we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471288
post-1998 period has witnessed an increase in volatility of trading revenues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467650
Economists have long recognized that investors care differently about downside losses versus upside gains. Agents who place greater weight on downside risk demand additional compensation for holding stocks with high sensitivities to downside market movements. We show that the cross-section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466847
alleviating finite sample biases arising from the pronounced intraday volatility pattern which afflict alternative jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463116
We develop a jackknife estimator for the conditional variance of a minimum-tracking- error-variance portfolio constructed using estimated covariances. We empirically evaluate the performance of our estimator using an optimal portfolio of 200 stocks that has the lowest tracking error with respect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468246