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We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479725
financial index investment in recent years did not cause massive bubbles in agricultural futures prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459596
We explore the implications of asset price volatility for the management of monetary policy. We show that it is desirable for central banks to focus on underlying inflationary pressures. Asset prices become relevant only to the extent they may signal potential inflationary or deflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471216
bubbles in stock prices in a model in which stockholders have …rules out the existence of negative rational bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477082
This paper reports empirical tests for the existence of rational bubbles in stock prices. The analysis focuses on a … extraneous variables. The tests are based on the theoretical result that, if rational bubbles exist, time series obtained by …. Applications of the time domain tests to simulated nonstationary time series that would be implied by rational bubbles indicates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477310
deterministic bubbles and stochastic bubbles, for a model of inflation and for a model of the evolution of price and quantity in the … market fora storable commodity, such as gold. The analysis focuses on stochastic bubbles as a possibility peculiarly … points to no compelling reason to rule out rational stochastic bubbles apriori, conventional behavioral assumptions imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478044
This paper investigates the nature and the presence of bubbles in financial markets. Are bubbles consistent with … are some of the questions asked in the first three sections. The general conclusion is that bubbles, in many markets, are … consistent with rationality, that phenomena such as runaway asset prices and market crashes are consistent with rational bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478162
An iconic model with high leverage and overvalued collateral assets is used to illustrate the amplification mechanism driving asset prices to 'overshoot' equilibrium when an asset bubble bursts--threatening widespread insolvency and what Richard Koo calls a 'balance sheet recession'
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462797
A surprisingly large amount of commentary today marks the beginning of the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s from either the Netscape Communications initial public offering of 1995 or Alan Greenspan's "irrational exuberance" speech of 1996. We believe that this is wrong: we see little sign that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466660
We model the relationship between asset float (tradeable shares) and speculative bubbles. Investors trade a stock with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467316