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The equity variance risk premium is the expected compensation earned for selling variance risk in equity markets. The … variance risk premium is positive and shows moderate persistence. High variance risk premiums coincide with the left tail of …-based asset pricing models. We introduce a tractable habit model that does fit the data. In the model, the variance risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481691
This paper investigates movements of market indicators of banking fragility, namely, Japan premium, stock prices, and … credit derivative spreads of Japanese banks. Although the Japan premium in the euro-dollar market seemed to have virtually … indicators were high both in the first period and in the second period; Credit default swap (CDS) premium explains Japan premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469110
currencies of advanced economies and emerging markets, using survey data on expected exchange rate. First, the UIP premium co … comovement between the UIP premium and capital inflows. Second, the comovement of the UIP premium and the VIX is explained by …. Third, country risk measured by the degree of policy uncertainty can explain both the negative comovement of the UIP premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585407
We develop a two-country model in which currency and bond markets are populated by different investor clienteles, and segmentation is partly overcome by global arbitrageurs with limited capital. Our model accounts for the empirically documented violations of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172174
model of the risk premium. Increases in expected rates of depreciation of the dollar relative to five foreign currencies are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477330
, the Bank of Japan and the ECB is as important as Fed policy in forecasting currency returns against the dollar. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479665
We study the dynamic properties of sovereign bonds in emerging markets and their associated risk premiums. We focus on the properties of credit spreads, exchange rates, and their interaction. Relying on the term structure of local currency bonds issued by Asia-Pacific sovereigns, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481356
We develop a model in which specialized bond investors must absorb shocks to the supply and demand for long-term bonds in two currencies. Since long-term bonds and foreign exchange are both exposed to unexpected movements in short-term interest rates, a shift in the supply of long-term bonds in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481468
This paper proposes a set of novel pricing factors for currency returns that are motivated by microstructure models. In so doing, we bring two strands of the exchange rate literature, namely market-microstructure and risk-based models, closer together. Our novel factors use order flow data to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481782
intuitive and significant co-movement between currency risk premium and risk premia in yield curve factors that drive bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463126