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policies. Monetary policy acted on output and inflation broadly in line with consensus views today, but credit controls had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456297
helps explain the well known puzzle that fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467971
In this paper I use weekly data from seven emerging nations - four in Latin America and three in Asia - to investigate … dynamics - in Latin America and Asia. The results also indicate that capital controls are not an effective tool for isolating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460103
choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … country holds international reserves (IR) at a level higher than a threshold (about 20% of GDP). Greater monetary autonomy is … associated with a higher level of inflation while greater exchange rate stability and greater financial openness could lower the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774
A broadly accepted view contends that the 2007-09 financial crisis in the U.S. was caused by an expansion in the supply of credit to subprime borrowers during the 2001- 2006 credit boom, leading to the spike in defaults and foreclosures that sparked the crisis. We use a large administrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453971
The secular decline in safe interest rates since the early 1980s has been the subject of considerable attention. In this short paper, we argue that it is important to consider the evolution of safe real rates in conjunction with three other first-order macroeconomic stylized facts: the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455554
We argue that the government-spending multiplier can be much larger than one when the zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate binds. The larger is the fraction of government spending that occurs while the nominal interest rate is zero, the larger is the value of the multiplier. After...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463255
volatility of GDP growth at all frequencies. Monetary policymakers looking to a neoclassical model to provide the neutral levels … of key variables-potential GDP, the natural rate of unemployment, and the equilibrium real interest rate, need to solve a …. Some branches of modem theory do not support the concepts of potential GDP, the natural rate of unemployment, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467025
We evaluate the implications of the ECB's negative interest rate policy (NIRP) on the yield curve. To capture various shapes of the short end of the yield curve induced by the NIRP, we introduce two policy indicators, which summarize the immediate and longer-horizon future monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480832
Central banks typically raise short-term interest rates to defend currency pegs. Higher interest rates, however, often lead to a credit crunch and an output contraction. We model this trade-off in an optimizing, first-generation model in which the crisis may be delayed but is ultimately...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466880