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This study documents how job seekers update perceived job-finding prospects by unemployment duration and by learning … about aggregate unemployment. We find that job seekers perceive an 18% decline in their job-finding probability for each … additional month of unemployment, but perceive a higher job-finding probability when the aggregate unemployment rate is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447261
employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
, that frictions (sand-in-the-wheels) may decrease unemployment and that the equilibrium is determined by two simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635663
equivalent workers fall sharply as unemployment duration progresses. We use the model to quantitatively assess the consequences … of such employer behavior for job finding rates and long term unemployment and find only modest effects given the large … decline in callbacks. Interviews lost to duration impact individual job-finding rates solely if they would have led to jobs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453513
unemployment benefits on the duration of joblessness in Austria, and discuss implementation issues that may arise in similar … nonparametric estimation (e.g. Imbens et al. (2012) and Calonico et al. (2014)) are sometimes interpreted by practitioners as … pointing to a default estimation procedure, we show that in any given application different procedures may perform better or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455899
By how much does an extension of unemployment benefits affect macroeconomic outcomes such as unemployment? Answering … this question is challenging because U.S. law extends benefits for states experiencing high unemployment. We use data … revisions to decompose the variation in the duration of benefits into the part coming from actual differences in economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456512
rents from holding a full-time $15 per hour job relative to unemployment are worth about $20,000, more than seven times …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322834
There are 420 million young people in Africa today. Understanding how youth search for jobs and what affects their ability to find good jobs is of paramount importance. We do so using a field experiment tracking young job seekers for six years in Uganda's main cities. We examine how two standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337802
variables while it is uncorrelated with life satisfaction. The unemployment rate and the CPI reduce both. We analyze data for 29 … European countries to predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead using individuals' fears of unemployment in the … presence of country and year fixed effects and lagged unemployment. We also use firms' expectations of future employment, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447326
We document the sources behind the costs of job loss over the business cycle using administrative data from Germany. Losses in annual earnings after displacement are large, persistent, and highly cyclical, nearly doubling in size during downturns. A large part of the long-term earnings losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334381