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evolving Fed credibility, which accords with our recent work using a quantitative New Keynesian model. We define credibility as …, no conflict arises between flexible inflation targeting and maintaining/accumulating credibility. Second, implicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210040
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central banks' deliberations sorely missed in the past. At least in today's inherited monetary policymaking context, however, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469742
loss of credibility is found. Second, the frequency with which the world economy experiences economic and financial crises …In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives … their role in influencing the credibility of the monetary authority. We focus on measures of inflation expectations, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457842
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics … for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a … pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold standard before 1914 before being lost and not fully regained …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457973
credibility). We then use panel VARs based on both factor models and observed data to ascertain the impact of global shocks …, financial shocks, trade shocks and credibility shocks on the EMEs versus the AEs … credibility in EMEs was more fragile than was the case for the AEs in the face of the global shocks (from the US) than was the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480286
We propose a new framework for understanding the effectiveness of central bank announcements when firms have heterogeneous inflation expectations. Expectations are updated through social dynamics and, with heterogeneity, not all firms choose to operate, putting downward pressure on realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458503
The rise, fall, and stabilization of US inflation between 1969 and 2005 is consistent with a model of shifting policy regimes that features a forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve, policymakers that can or cannot commit, and private sector learning about policymaker type. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794613
to remedy the problems; and draws some general conclusions. The two main current problems are the lack of credibility of … the target and the significant risk that the target will be missed. The reasons for the lack of credibility include the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473913
Aggregate shocks that move output and inflation in opposite directions create a tradeoff between output and inflation variability, forcing central bankers to make a choice. Differences in the degree of accommodation of shocks lead to disparate variability outcomes, revealing national central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471355
We study empirically the macroeconomic effects of an explicit de jure quantitative goal for monetary policy. Quantitative goals take three forms: exchange rates, money growth rates, and inflation targets. We analyze the effects on inflation of both having a quantitative target, and of hitting a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467843