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Inventories and the Short-Run Dynamics of Commodity Prices
Pindyck, Robert S. - 1990
The idea that wages rise relative to alternatives as job seniority accumulates is the foundation of the theory of specific human capital, as well as other widely accepted theories of compensation. The fact that persons with longer job tenures typically earn higher wages tends to support these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475740
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Financialization in Commodity Markets
Chari, V.V. - 2017
The financialization view is that increased trading in commodity futures markets is associated with increases in the growth rate and volatility of commodity spot prices. This view gained credence because in the 2000s trading volume increased sharply and many commodity prices rose and became more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453945
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Commodity Connectedness
Diebold, Francis X. - 2017
We use variance decompositions from high-dimensional vector autoregressions to characterize connectedness in 19 key commodity return volatilities, 2011-2016. We study both static (full-sample) and dynamic (rolling-sample) connectedness. We summarize and visualize the results using tools from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012454997
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The Financialization of Commodity Markets
Cheng, Ing-Haw - 2013
The large inflow of investment capital to commodity futures markets in the last decade has generated a heated debate about whether financialization distorts commodity prices. Rather than focusing on the opposing views concerning whether investment flows either did or did not cause a price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459020
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From Boom to Bust : A Typology of Real Commodity Prices in the Long Run
Jacks, David S. - 2013
This paper considers the evidence on real commodity prices from 1900 to 2015 for 40 commodities, representing 8.72 trillion US dollars of production in 2011. In so doing, it suggests and documents a comprehensive typology of real commodity prices, comprising long-run trends, medium-run cycles,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459787
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Commodity Booms and Busts in Emerging Economies
Drechsel, Thomas - 2017
are associated with lower spreads between the country's borrowing rate and world interest rates. Both effects jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453995
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World Shocks, World Prices, and Business Cycles : An Empirical Investigation
Fernández, Andrés - 2016
intratemporal relative price such as the terms of trade and possibly an intertemporal price such as the world interest rate. This … paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices and the world interest rate transmit world … disturbances. Estimates on a panel of 138 countries over the period 1960-2015 indicate that world shocks explain on average 33 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455847
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Was This Time Different? Fiscal Policy in Commodity Republics
Céspedes, Luis Felipe - 2013
We revisit the issue of fiscal procyclicality in commodity-rich nations -commodity republics in the nomenclature of this paper. Since commodity prices are plausibly a main driver of fiscal policy outcomes in these countries, we focus on the behavior of fiscal variables across the commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458915
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On The Behavior of Commodity Prices
Deaton, Angus - 1990
The classical theory of commodity price determination integrates myopic supply and demand on the one hand with competitive storage (speculation) under rational expectations on the other. Taking into account the fact that inventories mist; be non-negative, this paper derives from the theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475591
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Commodity Prices as a Leading Indicator of Inflation
Boughton, James M. - 1988
This paper studies the value of broad commodity price indexes as predictors of consumer price inflation in the G-7 industrial countries. After an introduction, the paper discusses the theoretical relationship between commodity and consumer prices and the conditions under which, in general, one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476310