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Contagion in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis
Glover, Brent - 2014
We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458098
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From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis
Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2010
Newly developed long historical time series on public debt, along with modern data on external debts, allow a deeper analysis of the cycles underlying serial debt and banking crises. The evidence confirms a strong link between banking crises and sovereign default across the economic history of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462855
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Tales from the Bretton Woods
Bordo, Michael D. - 2014
An analogy has been made between the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1971 and the recent Eurozone crisis. The …However Bretton Woods is very different from the Eurozone in many dimensions. An even better analogy than BWS is a … Eurozone. In the early 1930s massive gold flows from the interior, hard hit by banking panics, to New York City were similar to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458395
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Government Debt and Banking Fragility : The Spreading of Strategic Uncertainty
Cooper, Russell - 2013
This paper studies the interaction of government debt and financial markets. Both markets are fragile: excessively responsive to fundamentals and prone to strategic uncertainty. This interaction, termed a 'diabolic loop', is driven by government choice to bail out banks and the resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459383
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Fiscal and Financial Crises
Bordo, Michael D. - 2016
Interconnections between banking crises and fiscal crises have a long history. We document the long-run evolution from classic banking panics towards modern banking crises where financial guarantees are associated with crisis resolution. Recent crises feature a feedback loop between bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456615
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The Long and the Short of It : Sovereign Debt Crises and Debt Maturity
Fernández, Raquel - 2014
We present a simple model of sovereign debt crises in which a country chooses its optimal mix of short and long-term bonds subject to standard contracting frictions: the country cannot commit to repay its debts nor to a specific path of future debt issues, and contracts cannot be made state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457880
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Inspecting the Mechanism : Leverage and the Great Recession in the Eurozone
Martin, Philippe - 2014
We provide a comprehensive account of the dynamics of eurozone countries from 2000 to 2012. We analyze private leverage … government spending, and sudden stops. We then ask how eurozone countries would have fared with different policies. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458093
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Sovereign Debt Markets in Turbulent Times : Creditor Discrimination and Crowding-Out Effects
Broner, Fernando - 2013
In 2007, countries in the euro periphery were enjoying stable growth, low deficits, and low spreads. Then the financial crisis erupted and pushed them into deep recessions, raising their deficits and debt levels. By 2010, they were facing severe debt problems. Spreads increased and,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458985
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Measuring Real Economic Effects of Bailouts : Historical Perspectives on How Countries in Financial Distress Have Fared With and Without Bailouts
Bordo, Michael D. - 2000
In this paper we first trace the changing nature of banking, currency and debt crises from the last century to the present. Each type of crisis has transmogrified in the presence of official intervention and the creation of a safety net. A similar pattern is observed for international rescue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471060
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Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?
Aizenman, Joshua - 2020
We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481987