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that the regime survived past attacks. This interaction also generates interesting equilibrium properties, such as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467670
This paper examines the ability of a policy maker to control equilibrium outcomes in an environment where market … policy are dictated by self-fulfilling market expectations. Despite equilibrium multiplicity, robust policy predictions can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468931
A large body of recent empirical work on inflation dynamics documents that current real variables (like unemployment or output gaps) have little explanatory power for future inflation. Motivated by these findings, I explore the properties of a wide class of models in which inflation expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456664
market. The game is designed in such a way that a stable equilibrium configuration exists and does not depend on conditions … such as initial configuration or order of move. We test whether the theoretical equilibrium is obtained under experimental … find that players are remarkably good at attaining a stable equilibrium configuration, which happens in 86% of the games …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456913
technologies. Equilibrium extraction is too large and comes too early for public resources, but the opposite is true for private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460141
can withdraw from the market after initial contract offers have been observed. We show that a subgame perfect equilibrium … always exists and that, in fact, when withdrawal is costless, the set of subgame perfect equilibrium outcomes may correspond … robust equilibrium outcome of our game. This outcome is always constrained efficient and involves cross-subsidization from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460190
Revealed preference arguments are commonly used when identifying models of both single-agent decisions and non-cooperative games. We develop general identification results for a large class of models that have a linearly separable payoff structure. Our model allows for both discrete and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436999
Building on theories of international relations, we analyze how mistrust (uncertainty about an adversary's preferences or capabilities), misperception (imperfect observation of an adversary's actions), and misunderstanding (non-degenerate higher-order beliefs) can lead to conflict and drive its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372438
equilibrium where both types of these equilibria could coexist. Our analyses of the social welfare under each equilibrium shed … drive the market to the dishonest equilibrium with lower social welfare. The need for screening signallers could drive up …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015194973
We study how people think others update their beliefs upon encountering new evidence. We find that when two individuals share the same prior, one believes that new evidence cannot systematically shift the other's beliefs in either direction (Martingale property). When the two have different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015171664