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Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210074
Using text from 200 million pages of 13,000 US local newspapers and machine learning methods, we construct a 170-year-long measure of economic sentiment at the country and state levels, that expands existing measures in both the time series (by more than a century) and the cross-section. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468226
We review the current state of the estimation of DSGE models. After introducing a general framework for dealing with … DSGE models, the state-space representation, we discuss how to evaluate moments or the likelihood function implied by such … that show much promise, but that have not been fully explored yet by the DSGE community. We conclude by outlining three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481263
We develop an algorithm to construct approximate decision rules that are piecewise-linear and continuous for DSGE … up computations. We use the techniques to estimate a small-scale DSGE model to assess the effects of the government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482211
disparate traditions. I make the case for unity between Post-Keynesian and General Equilibrium Theory under the banner of Post …-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455572
This paper demonstrates theoretically that a financial shock can have very persistent effects on international trade … persistently slower growth rate in trade. We find conditions under which a transitory financial shock significantly reduces the … financial shock, and firm entry investment that requires traded goods. This mechanism provides an example of how firm dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453213
-level productivity in a two-country DSGE model with heterogenous producers and an endogenous dynamic export participation decision. First …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458049
This paper shows that the quantitative predictions of an equilibrium asset pricing model with financial frictions are consistent with the large consumption and current-account reversals and asset-price collapses observed in the "Sudden Stops" of emerging markets crises. Margin requirements set a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467747
This paper develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with putty-clay technology that incorporates embodied technology, investment irreversibility, and variable capacity utilization. Low short-run capital-labor substitutability native to the putty-clay framework induces the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472001
This paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model that is intended to help clarify the role of credit market frictions in business fluctuations, from both a qualitative and a quantitative standpoint. The model is a synthesis of the leading approaches in the literature. In particular, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472350