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The first global financial bubble in stock prices occurred 1720 in Paris, London and the Netherlands. Explanations for … these linked bubbles primarily focus on the irrationality of investor speculation and the corresponding stock price behavior … of two large firms: the South Sea Company in Great Britain and the Mississippi Company in France. In this paper we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463318
Although long obscured by the Great Depression, the nationwide "bubble" that appeared in the early 1920s and burst in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463076
We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty … years. Systemic risk of banks rises already during a bubble's build-up phase, and even more so during its bust. The increase … differs strongly across banks and bubble episodes. It depends on bank characteristics (especially bank size) and bubble …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479725
driving asset prices to 'overshoot' equilibrium when an asset bubble bursts--threatening widespread insolvency and what …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462797
This paper examines the economic environments in which past U.S. stock market booms occurred as a first step toward understanding how asset price booms come about and whether monetary policy should be used to defuse booms. We identify several episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467986
Standard tests find that no bubbles are present in the stock price data for the last one hundred years. In contrast …., historical accounts, focusing on briefer periods, point to the stock market of 1928-1929 as a classic example of a bubble. While … claim that the boom and crash of 1929 represented a bubble. We develop a model that permits us to extract an estimate of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475403
We study crashes using data from 101 global stock markets from 1692 to 2015. Extremely large, annual stock market declines are typically followed by positive returns. This is not true for smaller declines. This pattern does not appear to be driven by institutional frictions, financial crises,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453881
individuals, to explain bubbles, crises, and endogenous risk in financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459756
Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
This paper uses monthly returns from 1802-2010, daily returns from 1885-2010, and intraday returns from 1982-2010 in the United States to show how stock volatility has changed over time. It also uses various measures of volatility implied by option prices to infer what the market was expecting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461682