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Modern theory has delivered both the conservative central banker and the principal-agent approaches as rationales for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473825
credibility). We then use panel VARs based on both factor models and observed data to ascertain the impact of global shocks …, financial shocks, trade shocks and credibility shocks on the EMEs versus the AEs … credibility in EMEs was more fragile than was the case for the AEs in the face of the global shocks (from the US) than was the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480286
An independent central bank can manage its balance sheet and its capital so as to commit itself to a depreciation of its currency and an exchange-rate peg. This way, the central bank can implement the optimal escape from a liquidity trap, which involves a commitment to higher future inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468011
Because of secrecy, little is known about the political economy of central bank lending. Utilizing a novel, hand-collected historical daily dataset on loans to commercial banks, we analyze how personal connections matter for lending of last resort, highlighting the importance of governance for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537763
We present a simple long-run aggregate demand and supply framework for evaluating long-run inflation. The framework illustrates how exogenous economic and political economy factors generate central bank pressures that can impact long-run inflation as well as transitions between steady states. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528348
This paper studies the effectiveness of forward guidance when central banks have imperfect credibility. Exploiting … expectations. In our model, the key parameter that aggregates heterogeneous expectations captures the central bank's credibility …, and other major advanced economies have similar levels of credibility (albeit far from full credibility); however, Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421202
Central bank credibility plays a pivotal role in much of the modern literature on monetary policy, yet it is difficult … important issues: why credibility matters, and how credibility can be built. The central bankers' answers are compared with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471626
governors suffer from a generic credibility problem. Federal Reserve chairman appointments stand out in terms of their unusually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465553
The perceptions of a central bank's inflation aversion may reflect institutional structure or, more dynamically, the history of its policy decisions. In this paper, we present a novel empirical framework that uses high frequency data to test for persistent variation in market perceptions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466879
Inflation targeting offers the promise of introducing to monetary policy a logic and consistency that some central banks' deliberations sorely missed in the past. At least in today's inherited monetary policymaking context, however, inflation targeting also serves two further objectives that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469742