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This paper examines monetary policy in Rudebusch and Svensson's (1999) two equation macroeconomic model when the policymaker recognizes that the model is an approximation and is uncertain about the quality of that approximation. It is argued that the minimax approach of robust control provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471286
This paper develops a theory of dynamic pessimism and its impact on asset prices. Notions of time-varying pessimism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481947
Economists typically check the robustness of their results by comparing them across plausible ranges of parameter values and model structures. A preferable approach to robustness--for the purposes of policymaking and evaluation--is to design policy that takes these ranges into account. We modify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482317
misspecification so small that it is difficult to detect statistically and cannot be ruled out based on economic theory. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544773
In this paper we discuss the properties of confidence intervals for regression parameters based on robust standard errors. We discuss the motivation for a modification suggested by Bell and McCaffrey (2002) to improve the finite sample properties of the confidence intervals based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460183
This paper describes the results of a Monte Carlo study of certain aspects of robust regression confidence region estimation for linear models with one, five, and seven parameters. One-step sine estimators (c = l.42) were used with design matrices consisting of short-tailed, Gaussian, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479015
The estimator holding the central place in the theory of the multivariate "errors-in-the-variables" (EV) model results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479043
What are the statistical and computational problems associated with robust nonlinear regression? This paper presents a number of possible approaches to these problems and develops a particular algorithm based on the work of Powell and Dennis
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479050
Four estimators of econometric models are compared for predictive accuracy. Two estimators assume that the parameters of the equations are subject to variation over time. The first of these, the adaptive regression technique (ADR), assumes that the intercept varies overtime, while the other, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479070
Recent work on robust estimation has led to many procedures, which are easy to formulate and straightforward to program but difficult to study analytically. In such circumstances experimental sampling is quite attractive, but the variety and complexity of both estimators and sampling situations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479109