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We develop a method for identifying and quantifying the fiscal channels that help finance government spending shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462199
We use discounted cash flow analysis to measure a country's fiscal capacity. Crucially, the discount rate applied to projected cash flows includes a GDP risk premium. We apply our valuation method to the CBO's projections for the U.S. federal government's deficit between 2022 and 2051 and debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190996
primary cause of state budget "gaps" has been the rise in the level of state unemployment. There is no evidence that gaps are … fiscal distress, ARRA covers at most $.23 of each additional dollar of a state's budget gap; there is a large per capita …The 2007-2010 recession has imposed significant fiscal hardships on state and local governments. The result has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462569
In this paper, I review US federal budget rules and present some evidence on their possible effects. From an analysis … of how components of the federal budget behaved under the different budget regimes, it appears that the rules did have … fiscal discipline on the political process of budget determination. The federal government has operated under a series of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464358
shocks that permanently affect the budget …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466348
likely to be one-dimensional. We thus study the general redistributive programs which are typical of the modern welfare state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471701
We study a fiscal policy model in which the government is present-biased towards public spending. Society chooses a fiscal rule to trade off the benefit of committing the government to not overspend against the benefit of granting it flexibility to react to privately observed shocks to the value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479419
concerning public debt and deficits in India, the background and basic arithmetic of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget … performance over the business cycle. We also briefly review fiscal responsibility legislation (and outcomes) at the state level … government. Finally, the recommendations of the 13th Finance Commission regarding a roadmap for fiscal consolidation are examined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462717
The paper studies the solvency of the Indian public sector and the eventual monetization and inflation implied by stabilization of the debt-GNP ratio without any changes in the primary deficit. The nonstationarity of the discounted public debt suggests that indefinite continuation of the pattern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475748
We study a fiscal policy model in which the government is present-biased towards public spending. Society chooses a fiscal rule to trade off the benefit of committing the government to not overspend against the benefit of granting it flexibility to react to privately observed shocks to the value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453795