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Factor supply increases (depresses) output for many of the same reasons that the government spending multiplier might …" and suggest that the government spending multiplier is less than one, even during the recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462850
wages; in a fairly broad class of simple models, the multiplier is 1 in the case that the monetary authority maintains a … constant path for real interest rates. The multiplier can be considerably smaller, however, if the monetary authority raises … multiplier is especially plausible when monetary policy is constrained by the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates; in such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462938
Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modelling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463865
. With allowance for other factors holding back GDP growth during those wars, the multiplier linking government purchases to … as well. On the other hand, neoclassical models have a much lower multiplier, because they predict that consumption falls … when purchases rise. The key features of a model that delivers a higher multiplier are (1) the decline in the markup ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463153
What is the impact of granular credit risk on banks and on the economy? We provide the first causal identification of single-name counterparty exposure risk in bank portfolios by applying a new empirical approach on an administrative matched bank-firm dataset from Norway. Exploiting the fat tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482214
) a fiscal multiplier of one and so a missing intercept close to zero. I also discuss the robustness of this aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794586
We argue that the government-spending multiplier can be much larger than one when the zero lower bound on the nominal … larger is the value of the multiplier. After providing intuition for these results, we investigate the size of the multiplier … in a dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium model. In this model the multiplier effect is substantially larger than one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463255
Recent evidence suggests that consumption rises in response to an increase in government spending. That finding cannot be easily reconciled with existing optimizing business cycle models. We extend the standard new Keynesian model to allow for the presence of rule-of-thumb consumers. We show how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467100
.8. Economic theory of how to map these multipliers into a national multiplier has also advanced. Drawing on the theoretical …A geographic cross-sectional fiscal spending multiplier measures the effect of an increase in spending in one region in … Reinvestment Act and a survey of empirical studies, my preferred point estimate for a cross-sectional output multiplier is 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455105
This paper uses the old-Keynesian representative agent model developed in Farmer (2010b) to answer two questions: 1) do increased government purchases crowd out private consumption? 2) do increased government purchases reduce unemployment? Farmer compared permanent tax financed expenditure paths...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462012