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How does lie detection constrain the potential for one person to persuade another to change her action? We consider a model of Bayesian persuasion in which the Receiver can detect lies with positive probability. We show that the Sender lies more when the lie detection probability increases. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210093
We analyze a coordination game with information-constrained players. The players' actions are based on a noisy … environment. We apply our model to the coordination game in the experiment of Frydman and Nunnari (2023), and show that it offers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486205
's size n? We model it as an optimal honest and obedient communication mechanism and we show that for large n it can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226188
Two potentially asymmetric players compete for a prize of common value, which is initially unknown, by exerting efforts. A designer has two instruments for contest design. First, she decides whether and how to disclose an informative signal of the prize value to players. Second, she sets the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247957
Many, if not most, personalistic dictatorships end up with a disastrous decision such as Hitler's attack on the Soviet Union, Hirohito's government launching a war against the United States, or Putin's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Even if the decision is not ultimately fatal for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250204
We analyze the offering, asking, and granting of help or other benefits as a three-stage game with bilateral private information between a person in need of help and a potential help-giver. Asking entails the risk of rejection, which can be painful: since unawareness of the need can no longer be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013388842
Global games of regime change -- that is, coordination games of incomplete information in which a status quo is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467670
We examine innovative contexts like scientific research or technical R&D where agents must search across many potential projects of varying and uncertain returns. Is it better to possess incomplete but accurate data on the value of some projects, or might there be cases where it is better to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544680
transparency is optimal. This is because more transparency facilitates more effective coordination, which is valuable from a social … ambiguity becomes optimal if there is a high risk that more transparency will lead to coordination failures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468302
We study a sequential experimentation model with endogenous feedback. Agents choose between a safe and risky action, the latter generating stochastic rewards. When making this choice, each agent is selfishly motivated (myopic). However, agents can disclose their experiences to a public record,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544761