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Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households' expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481579
This paper evaluates the central insight of the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model (C-CAPM) that an asset …'s expected return is determined by its equilibrium risk to consumption. Rather that measure the risk of a portfolio by the … contemporaneous covariance of its return and consumption growth -- as done in the previous literature on the C-CAPM and the pattern of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469162
We provide a comprehensive account of the dynamics of eurozone countries from 2000 to 2012. We analyze private leverage, fiscal policy, labor costs and interest rates and we propose a strategy to separate the impact of credit cycles, excessive government spending, and sudden stops. We then ask...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458093
This paper studies the macroeconomic effects of energy price shocks in energy-importing economies using a heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model. When MPCs are realistically large and the elasticity of substitution between energy and domestic goods is realistically low, increases in energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337777
consumption confirms that fiscal policy changes - both contractions and expansions - can have non-Keynesian effects if they are … sufficiently large and persistent, and suggests that these effects can result not only from changes in public consumption but to … decrease in net taxes (with almost no change in public consumption) was associated with a dramatic fall in private domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473537
Recent fiscal policies, including the 2008 stimulus payments and the 2009 Making Work Pay tax credit, aimed to increase household spending. This paper quantifies the spending response to these policies and examines differences in spending by whether the stimulus was delivered as a one-time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462409
the labor income to consumption ratio produces statistically significant coefficients and adjusted R2 's that are larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470415
Following the textbook C-CAPM, the consumption risk of an asset is typically measured as the contemporaneous covariance … of the marginal utility of consumption and the return on that asset. When measured this way, consumption risk is too … central insight of the C-CAPM - that consumption risk determines returns - but take the model less literally by allowing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469152
alternative fiscal policies on current consumption and saving. Studies to date have examined the response of current consumption … consumption smoothing is actually feasible. ESPlanner's saving and life insurance recommendations generate the smoothest possible … survival-state contingent lifetime consumption path for the household without putting it into debt. Such consumption smoothing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468609
This paper shows that in American states balanced budget rules are effective in enforcing fiscal discipline but they have no costs in terms of increased output variability. More specifically, we show that tighter fiscal rules are associated with larger average surplus and lower cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473231