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We find that variation in expected U.S. productivity explains over half of U.S. dollar/G7 exchange rate fluctuations. Both correctly-anticipated changes in productivity and expectational noise, which influences the expectation of productivity but not its eventual realization, have large effects....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576625
Human decision-makers frequently override the recommendations generated by predictive algorithms, but it is unclear whether these discretionary overrides add valuable private information or reintroduce human biases and mistakes. We develop new quasi-experimental tools to measure the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372504
We study an economy subject to recurrent disasters when agents have imprecise information about the frequency and duration of the disasters. Uncertainty about the persistence of states can lead to seemingly pessimistic behavior in bad times and optimistic behavior in good times. In a disaster,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247988
addition, popular policy goals such as informational efficiency, price stability and market liquidity can have different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015409859
This paper proposes a theory of liquidity dynamics. Illiquidity results from asymmetric information. Observing the … perpetuates illiquidity. Liquidity falls in response to unexpected events that lead agents to question their valuation models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457548
We examine how liquidity and asset prices are affected by the following market imperfections: asymmetric information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463434
Using information on the sales of debt claims for 132 U.S. Chapter 11 bankruptcy cases, we show that large trade creditors' decisions to sell receivables of a distressed company in bankruptcy are predictive of lower recovery rates, and that in such cases these creditors sell ahead of less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453445
Credit market freezes in which debt issuance declines dramatically and market liquidity evaporates are typically … bonds declined, and secondary credit markets became highly illiquid. In this paper we analyze liquidity in bond markets … during financial crises and compare two main theories of liquidity in markets: (1) asymmetric information and adverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455170
Jobs increasingly require good decision-making. Workers are valued not only for how much they can do, but also for their ability to decide what to do. In this paper we develop a theory and measurement paradigm for assessing individual variation in the ability to make good decisions about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372431
Using data on Software Development Kits (SDKs), we study SDKs in Android apps vis-à-vis the adoption of the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) by the European Union in May 2018. Relative to US-only apps, the number of non-Google SDKs used per app in 5 major European countries (EU5)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015145050